The Power of the Hypergeometric Bet

Potover Summary

What size should we bet with our value and bluffs? When our range is perfectly polarized (with our value hands having 100% equity), many studied players know that our optimal wager is the geometric size: the fraction of the pot that gets us exactly all-in if we bet this same fraction on each remaining street. When used before the river, this geometric sizing enables our value hands to get all the money in while maximizing our opponent’s overall defense frequency. And while our bluffs do not ben

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